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Guastatoya vs Zacapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio David Cordón Hichos, Guastatoya
Sat, Jan 11, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guastatoya host Zacapa in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. Guastatoya go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Guastatoya at 1.4 goals for, 1.09 against; Zacapa at 0.36 for, 1.86 against. Past meetings favor Guastatoya slightly — 0-0-5 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 0.88, favoring Guastatoya. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Guastatoya
20%
Draws
6%
Zacapa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guastatoya lately — more wins on the board than Zacapa.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Guastatoya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 20%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guastatoya Zacapa
Matches Played 35 14
Wins 14 0
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.4 0.36
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Guastatoya
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Zacapa
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Guastatoya
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Zacapa
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Guastatoya
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guastatoya 49 / 100
Zacapa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guastatoya Zacapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guastatoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guastatoya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Guastatoya's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Zacapa let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Zacapa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guastatoya VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guastatoya

(Home)
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7

Zacapa

(Away)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)