Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guatemala U17 vs Mexico U17

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U17
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
de la Cruz A.
25' Event
Carrillo S.
34'
de la Cruz A.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U17 in this CONCACAF Championship U17 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guatemala U17
15%
Draws
49%
Mexico U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico U17 lately — more wins on the board than Guatemala U17.
  • Model gives Mexico U17 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship U17 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mexico U17 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Guatemala U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Mexico U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala U17 Mexico U17
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 10 24
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.76 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Mexico U17 vs Guatemala U17
5:0
Feb 14, 2023 CONCACAF Championship U17
Guatemala U17 vs Mexico U17
0:2
Apr 15, 2013 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs Guatemala U17
2:0
Apr 24, 2009 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs Guatemala U17
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Mexico U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barajas F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala U17 24 / 100
Mexico U17 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala U17 Mexico U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guatemala U17 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Guatemala U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mexico U17 has conceded goals in 54% of their last 39 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala U17 VS Mexico U17
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala U17

(Home)
11 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 1
Guatemala U17
08 Feb
Grenada U17
0 : 7
Guatemala U17
06 Feb
Guatemala U17
2 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda U17
17 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 0
Guatemala U17
14 Feb
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17
0 : 5
Guatemala U17
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Mexico U17

(Away)
12 Feb
Mexico U17
2 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago U17
09 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 4
Mexico U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Sint Maarten U17
0 : 10
Mexico U17
18 Nov
Mexico U17
0 : 5
Portugal U17
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U17 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
2 Panama U17 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Guatemala U17 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Curacao U17 3 0 0 3 3:21 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U17 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Canada U17 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Trinidad & Tobago U17 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
4 Barbados U17 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U17 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U17 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Jamaica U17 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
3 Cuba U17 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Guadeloupe U17 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U17 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U17 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 El Salvador U17 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Haiti U17 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Suriname U17 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U17 (Play Offs)