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Guatemala U20 vs Costa Rica U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Ponciano E.
35'
Bini S.
38'
Cordero M.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 game between Guatemala U20 and Costa Rica U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Costa Rica U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Guatemala U20
15%
Draws
59%
Costa Rica U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa Rica U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guatemala U20 come out ahead of Costa Rica U20 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Guatemala U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Costa Rica U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala U20 Costa Rica U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.77 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Costa Rica U20
0:1
Apr 8, 2011 CONCACAF Championship U20
Costa Rica U20 vs Guatemala U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Costa Rica U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala U20 34 / 100
Costa Rica U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala U20 Costa Rica U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Rica U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guatemala U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Costa Rica U20 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guatemala U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala U20 VS Costa Rica U20
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala U20

(Home)
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
27 Jul
Antigua and Barbuda U20
0 : 4
Guatemala U20
24 Jul
Guatemala U20
0 : 1
Costa Rica U20
28 Jun
El Salvador U20
1 : 1
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 6

Costa Rica U20

(Away)
07 Aug
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
USA U20
04 Aug
Costa Rica U20
2 : 1
Haiti U20
30 Jul
Costa Rica U20
4 : 1
Antigua and Barbuda U20
28 Jul
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
24 Jul
Guatemala U20
0 : 1
Costa Rica U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Haiti U20 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
3 Cuba U20 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 El Salvador U20 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Costa Rica U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Guatemala U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Antigua and Barbuda U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U20 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Jamaica U20 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Panama U20 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Honduras U20 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams