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Guatemala U20 vs Haiti U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 Estadio Sergio León Chavez, Irapuato
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Francois M.
17' Event
Escobar O.
(Penalty)
19'
Cuque D.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 game between Guatemala U20 and Haiti U20 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guatemala U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Guatemala U20
15%
Draws
51%
Haiti U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guatemala U20 come out ahead of Haiti U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guatemala U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guatemala U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Haiti U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala U20 Haiti U20
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 17 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.77 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Haiti U20
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Escobar O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Evans M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Haiti U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala U20 83 / 100
Haiti U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala U20 Haiti U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guatemala U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Guatemala U20's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Haiti U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Haiti U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala U20 VS Haiti U20
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala U20

(Home)
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
27 Jul
Antigua and Barbuda U20
0 : 4
Guatemala U20
24 Jul
Guatemala U20
0 : 1
Costa Rica U20
28 Jun
El Salvador U20
1 : 1
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 7

Haiti U20

(Away)
04 Aug
Costa Rica U20
2 : 1
Haiti U20
31 Jul
El Salvador U20
1 : 2
Haiti U20
28 Jul
Haiti U20
3 : 2
Cuba U20
26 Jul
USA U20
3 : 0
Haiti U20
07 Jun
Jamaica U20
9 : 0
Haiti U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Costa Rica U20 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Cuba U20 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Jamaica U20 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U20 3 2 1 0 11:5 7
2 Canada U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 El Salvador U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Dominican Republic U20 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Panama U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3 Guatemala U20 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Haiti U20 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams