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Guatemala vs French Guiana

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Marmot Y.
39'
Archila C.
46'
Sub
Legrand J. In: Youssou S.
Out: Legrand J.

AI Match Summary

Guatemala in this CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guatemala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Guatemala
11%
Draws
80%
French Guiana
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: French Guiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guatemala lately — more wins on the board than French Guiana.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on French Guiana taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guatemala Clean Sheet 19%
French Guiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala French Guiana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Guatemala vs French Guiana
4:0
Jun 2, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
French Guiana vs Guatemala
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sequen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

French Guiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala 12 / 100
French Guiana 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala French Guiana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guatemala's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

French Guiana let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

French Guiana's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cuba650111:315
2Guadeloupe63035:59
3Antigua and Barbuda63035:79
4Barbados61053:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti651022:516
2Guyana63128:1410
3Bermuda61147:104
4Montserrat61146:144
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nicaragua642015:514
2Trinidad & Tobago641112:413
3Bahamas61142:114
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines60245:142
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guatemala641111:413
2French Guiana63218:811
3Dominican Republic62228:78
4Belize60152:101