Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guayaquil City vs Emelec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
Guayaquil City Logo

Guayaquil City

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Emelec Logo

Emelec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guayaquil City host Emelec in the Liga Pro. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Guayaquil City have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Emelec's 0.83 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Guayaquil City slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back Guayaquil City to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guayaquil City
20%
Draws
40%
Emelec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Guayaquil City's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what Emelec have produced (0.83).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 68%
Emelec Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City Emelec
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Emelec
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Guayaquil City
1:3
Oct 22, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Guayaquil City vs Emelec
0:1
Nov 4, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Emelec
0:0
May 30, 2023 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Guayaquil City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 41 / 100
Emelec 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City Emelec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guayaquil City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guayaquil City found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Emelec conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Guayaquil City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS Emelec
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guayaquil City

(Home)
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

Emelec

(Away)
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2
Libertad
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Libertad 31 12 8 11 35:35 44
8 Leones del Norte 31 10 10 11 32:33 40
9 Guayaquil City 31 10 10 11 34:37 40
10 Emelec 31 10 9 12 26:36 39
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)