Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guayaquil City vs LDU Quito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
Guayaquil City Logo

Guayaquil City

2 - 1
FT
LDU Quito Logo

LDU Quito

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Estrada M.
39' Event
Quinonez Y.
Assist: Zambrano I.
45' Event
Bolanos M.
Assist: Naula A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guayaquil City in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guayaquil City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Guayaquil City
30%
Draws
37%
LDU Quito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • LDU Quito have won more games recently than Guayaquil City.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Guayaquil City taking it.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and LDU Quito have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 20%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City LDU Quito
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs LDU Quito
2:1
May 2, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City
1:0
Sep 5, 2023 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City
2:0
Apr 9, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs LDU Quito
1:2
Oct 15, 2022 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolanos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dorregaray D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinonez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 42 / 100
LDU Quito 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City LDU Quito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guayaquil City scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Guayaquil City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

LDU Quito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS LDU Quito
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guayaquil City

(Home)
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

LDU Quito

(Away)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)