Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Sambonino K.
60'
Moran J.
62'
Sub
Naula A. In: Diaz D.
Out: Naula A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Guayaquil City
20%
Draws
38%
Leones del Norte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guayaquil City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Leones del Norte have won more games recently than Guayaquil City.
  • Win probability leans Guayaquil City's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 18%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City Leones del Norte
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City
1:1
Mar 23, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Serie B
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte
2:1
Jul 23, 2025 Serie B
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 41 / 100
Leones del Norte 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City Leones del Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guayaquil City found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Leones del Norte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guayaquil City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS Leones del Norte
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guayaquil City

(Home)
23 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1
Guayaquil City
19 Jul
Guayaquil City
1 : 0
Manta
16 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Guayaquil City
11 Jul
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
Delfin
08 Jul
Aucas
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 6

Leones del Norte

(Away)
26 Jul
Delfin
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
23 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1
Guayaquil City
18 Jul
LDU Quito
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
15 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
10 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle22181355:2255
2U. Catolica21105633:1935
3Macara22105728:2235
4Aucas22105724:2535
5Barcelona SC2297623:1734
6LDU Quito2295821:1732
7Leones del Norte2287723:2131
8Emelec2177718:2428
9Dep. Cuenca2184919:2628
10Guayaquil City2176819:2327
11Tecnico U.22821220:2426
12Orense22751027:3226
13Mushuc Runa2167827:3125
14Libertad2166919:2624
15Delfin22651113:2123
16Manta2235148:2714
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)