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Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Aguas A. In: Moran J.
Out: Aguas A.
29'
Arias R.
32'
Griffa E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Guayaquil City
30%
Draws
29%
Leones del Norte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guayaquil City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Guayaquil City haven't matched Leones del Norte's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guayaquil City's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 68%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City Leones del Norte
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte
1:1
Jul 23, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City
1:1
Mar 23, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Serie B
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guayaquil City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Leones del Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Luque M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 68 / 100
Leones del Norte 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City Leones del Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guayaquil City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guayaquil City scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Leones del Norte has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Guayaquil City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS Leones del Norte
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guayaquil City

(Home)
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
LDU Quito
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Leones del Norte

(Away)
09 Oct
Libertad
3 : 0
Leones del Norte
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Libertad 32 13 8 11 38:35 47
8 Guayaquil City 32 11 10 11 37:39 43
9 Leones del Norte 32 10 10 12 32:36 40
10 Emelec 32 10 9 13 28:39 39
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