Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
Guayaquil City Logo

Guayaquil City

3 - 1
FT
Mushuc Runa Logo

Mushuc Runa

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Mero E.
Assist: Arias R.
34'
Biojo R.
36'
Cusme J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Guayaquil City and Mushuc Runa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guayaquil City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Guayaquil City
35%
Draws
19%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guayaquil City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Guayaquil City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guayaquil City's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 68%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa
3:1
May 23, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Guayaquil City
2:2
Aug 6, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa
3:1
Aug 16, 2023 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Guayaquil City
3:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mero E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dorregaray D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mushuc Runa Compare

Top Goalscorer Perea M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 50 / 100
Mushuc Runa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City Mushuc Runa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guayaquil City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Guayaquil City's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Mushuc Runa has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Guayaquil City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS Mushuc Runa
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guayaquil City

(Home)
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

Mushuc Runa

(Away)
09 Oct
Delfin
3 : 2
Mushuc Runa
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)