Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt

Tecnico U.

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guayaquil City play Tecnico U. in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guayaquil City averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Tecnico U. averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Guayaquil City won 2, Tecnico U. won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Guayaquil City and 1.31 for Tecnico U.. This points to a Guayaquil City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Guayaquil City

15%

Draws

41%

Tecnico U.

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guayaquil City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Guayaquil City picked up more points recently compared to Tecnico U..
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 56%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 18%

Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guayaquil City	Tecnico U.
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	9	9
Draws	7	4
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	0.96	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga Pro

Guayaquil City vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Nov 11, 2023 Liga Pro

Guayaquil City vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Jun 4, 2023 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Guayaquil City

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Aug 14, 2022 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Guayaquil City

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Apr 3, 2022 Liga Pro

Guayaquil City vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinonez J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Tecnico U. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 43 / 100

Tecnico U. 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guayaquil City Tecnico U.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guayaquil City or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guayaquil City attacking → ← attacking Tecnico U.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guayaquil City scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Tecnico U. let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Guayaquil City went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tecnico U. lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 31

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	17	13	1	3	36:18	40
2	Barcelona SC	17	8	5	4	20:13	29
3	Aucas	17	8	5	4	20:16	29
4	LDU Quito	17	8	3	6	19:14	27
5	Dep. Cuenca	17	8	3	6	18:19	27
6	U. Catolica	18	7	5	6	28:18	26
7	Tecnico U.	17	7	2	8	19:17	23
8	Leones del Norte	18	6	5	7	19:19	23
9	Macara	17	6	5	6	16:18	23
10	Emelec	17	6	5	6	14:17	23
11	Orense	17	6	4	7	22:24	22
12	Mushuc Runa	17	5	6	6	22:23	21
13	Guayaquil City	17	5	4	8	14:20	19
14	Delfin	17	4	5	8	9:16	17
15	Libertad	17	4	5	8	17:25	17
16	Manta	17	3	3	11	7:23	12