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Gubbio vs Atalanta U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Podda L.
39'
42'
Ghislandi D.

AI Match Summary

Atalanta U23 in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atalanta U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gubbio
15%
Draws
85%
Atalanta U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gubbio have won more games recently than Atalanta U23.
  • Model gives Atalanta U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 16%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gubbio Atalanta U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Atalanta U23
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gubbio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diao S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonanomi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gubbio 23 / 100
Atalanta U23 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gubbio Atalanta U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atalanta U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta U23 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Gubbio's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Atalanta U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gubbio VS Atalanta U23
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gubbio

(Home)
18 Oct
Gubbio
0 : 2
Atalanta U23
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0
Gubbio
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
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Atalanta U23

(Away)
18 Oct
Gubbio
0 : 2
Atalanta U23
14 Oct
Latina
2 : 0
Atalanta U23
11 Oct
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Atalanta U23
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 9 5 2 2 14:7 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
16 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
17 Pineto 9 1 5 3 6:11 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)