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Gubbio vs Forli FC

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Pietro Barbetti
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Di Massimo A.
45' Event
Zallu F.
46'
Sub
Spinelli A. In: Rossi D.
Out: Spinelli A.

AI Match Summary

Gubbio in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gubbio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gubbio
28%
Draws
22%
Forli FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gubbio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gubbio have won more games recently than Forli FC.
  • Gubbio are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gubbio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 68%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gubbio Forli FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Forli FC
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Forli FC vs Gubbio
0:1
Feb 25, 2017 Serie C - Group B
Forli FC vs Gubbio
1:0
Oct 8, 2016 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Forli FC
1:0
Mar 22, 2015 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Forli FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gubbio Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Massimo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zallu F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Forli FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gubbio 59 / 100
Forli FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gubbio Forli FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gubbio scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Forli FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gubbio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gubbio VS Forli FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arezzo36248464:2480
2Ascoli36238563:2377
3Ravenna36227750:3073
4Campobasso361710949:3759
5Juventus U233614111146:4353
6Pianese361117837:3450
7Pineto3613111242:4550
8Gubbio3611151031:3248
9Ternana3614111144:4048
10Vis Pesaro3611131238:3646
11Livorno361271739:5143
12Forli FC3610101641:5240
13Carpi3610101635:4840
14Perugia368141438:4438
15Guidonia 1937368141430:3638
16Sambenedettese368131530:3737
17Sassari Torres366181232:4536
18Bra366141637:5432
19US Pontedera363112227:6220
20Rimini00000:00