Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gubbio vs Latina

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Ercolano E.
20' Event
Cardascio A.
38' Event
D'Angelo S.
Assist: Keita C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Gubbio and Latina finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gubbio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gubbio
20%
Draws
33%
Latina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gubbio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Latina haven't matched Gubbio's recent run of results.
  • Gubbio are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 68%
Latina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gubbio Latina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Latina
3:1
Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Latina vs Gubbio
1:0
Apr 28, 2013 Lega Pro C1/B
Gubbio vs Latina
2:1
Dec 9, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Latina vs Gubbio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gubbio Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardascio A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Podda L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Angelo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gubbio 77 / 100
Latina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gubbio Latina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gubbio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gubbio found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Latina has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Gubbio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gubbio VS Latina
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gubbio

(Home)
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1
Gubbio
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4
Gubbio
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

Latina

(Away)
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0
Forli FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Ravenna 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
3 Reggiana 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
4 Grosseto 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
5 Livorno 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
6 Sassari Torres 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
7 Guidonia 1937 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Forli FC 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
9 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
10 Campobasso 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 Pescara 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
12 Pineto 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Gubbio 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
14 Perugia 6 2 1 3 5:11 7
15 Ostiamare 6 2 0 4 7:8 6
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Vado 6 1 1 4 5:8 4
18 Pianese 6 0 3 3 2:6 3
19 Sambenedettese 6 0 2 4 7:11 2
20 Vis Pesaro 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)