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Stadium Background

Gubbio vs Ostiamare

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Meconi E.
38' Event
Parigini V.
(Penalty)
44'
Barry O.

AI Match Summary

Ostiamare in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Gubbio
15%
Draws
32%
Ostiamare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gubbio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostiamare lately — more wins on the board than Gubbio.
  • Win probability leans Gubbio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 68%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gubbio Ostiamare
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Ostiamare
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gubbio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Carbone F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gubbio 95 / 100
Ostiamare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gubbio Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gubbio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gubbio scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ostiamare let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gubbio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gubbio VS Ostiamare
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gubbio

(Home)
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1
Gubbio
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4
Gubbio
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

Ostiamare

(Away)
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Grosseto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Ravenna 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
3 Reggiana 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
4 Grosseto 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
5 Livorno 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
6 Sassari Torres 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
7 Guidonia 1937 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Forli FC 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
9 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
10 Campobasso 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 Pescara 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
12 Pineto 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Gubbio 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
14 Perugia 6 2 1 3 5:11 7
15 Ostiamare 6 2 0 4 7:8 6
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Vado 6 1 1 4 5:8 4
18 Pianese 6 0 3 3 2:6 3
19 Sambenedettese 6 0 2 4 7:11 2
20 Vis Pesaro 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)