Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Ianesi S.
29'
29'
Podda L.
54'
54'
Sub
Podda L. In: Zallu F.
Out: Podda L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gubbio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Pianese haven't matched Gubbio's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Gubbio taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 20%
Pianese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gubbio | Pianese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Pianese
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Gubbio
1:0
Mar 7, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Pianese
1:0
Oct 25, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Gubbio
3:1
Jan 31, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Pianese vs Gubbio
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gubbio Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruscagin M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Pianese Compare
Top Goalscorer Ianesi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gubbio 42 / 100
Pianese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gubbio Pianese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gubbio scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Pianese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Gubbio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gubbio VS Pianese
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gubbio
(Home) 27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0 Gubbio
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2 Ostiamare
16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1 Gubbio
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1 Latina
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4 Gubbio
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2 Ostiamare
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1 Latina
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
30 Aug
Gubbio
1 : 2 Reggiana
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 3
Pianese
(Away) 26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Pianese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Pianese
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
23 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0 Pianese
15 Aug
Carpi
3 : 2 Pianese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
