Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gubbio vs Reggiana

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sipos L.
Assist: Vallarelli F.
46'
Sub
Bagnolini N. In: Marson L.
Out: Bagnolini N.
55'
Cardascio A.

AI Match Summary

Reggiana in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reggiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gubbio
20%
Draws
45%
Reggiana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reggiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gubbio lately — more wins on the board than Reggiana.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Gubbio taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 68%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gubbio Reggiana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Reggiana
1:2
Feb 13, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Reggiana vs Gubbio
3:1
Oct 16, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Reggiana
1:2
Feb 23, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Reggiana
2:1
Sep 12, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Reggiana vs Gubbio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gubbio Compare

Top Goalscorer La Mantia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Reggiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sipos L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonetti S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gubbio 77 / 100
Reggiana 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gubbio Reggiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gubbio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gubbio's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Reggiana conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Gubbio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gubbio VS Reggiana
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gubbio

(Home)
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1
Gubbio
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4
Gubbio
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0
Vis Pesaro
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Reggiana

(Away)
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Reggiana
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
30 Aug
Gubbio
1 : 2
Reggiana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Ravenna 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
3 Reggiana 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
4 Grosseto 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
5 Livorno 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
6 Sassari Torres 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
7 Guidonia 1937 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Forli FC 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
9 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
10 Campobasso 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 Pescara 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
12 Pineto 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Gubbio 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
14 Perugia 6 2 1 3 5:11 7
15 Ostiamare 6 2 0 4 7:8 6
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Vado 6 1 1 4 5:8 4
18 Pianese 6 0 3 3 2:6 3
19 Sambenedettese 6 0 2 4 7:11 2
20 Vis Pesaro 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)