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Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gubbio host Vis Pesaro in the Serie C - Group B. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Gubbio have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Vis Pesaro's 1 scored and 1.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Gubbio have won 2 to Vis Pesaro's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (2.19 - 1.31) back Gubbio to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gubbio
15%
Draws
85%
Vis Pesaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vis Pesaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vis Pesaro haven't matched Gubbio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vis Pesaro a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 18%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gubbio Vis Pesaro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
5:0
Feb 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio
1:1
Mar 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio
1:1
Oct 29, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gubbio 28 / 100
Vis Pesaro 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gubbio Vis Pesaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vis Pesaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vis Pesaro conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Gubbio scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Vis Pesaro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gubbio VS Vis Pesaro
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gubbio

(Home)
18 Oct
Gubbio
0 : 2
Atalanta U23
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0
Gubbio
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
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Vis Pesaro

(Away)
18 Oct
Latina
1 : 0
Vis Pesaro
10 Oct
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3
Grosseto
27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Pineto 10 2 5 3 8:11 11
16 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
17 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)