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Gudja vs Melita

Malta Malta

Challenge League
Gudja Logo

Gudja

0 - 3
FT
Melita Logo

Melita

Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Cassar B.
83' Event
Alba M.
86' Event
Sammut M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Melita in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gudja
15%
Draws
42%
Melita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gudja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Melita have won more games recently than Gudja.
  • Gudja are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gudja Clean Sheet 16%
Melita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gudja Melita
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 2
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.35 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Challenge League
Gudja vs Melita
0:3
Nov 1, 2025 Challenge League
Melita vs Gudja
2:2
Jan 23, 2016 Challenge League
Melita vs Gudja
0:0
Sep 13, 2015 Challenge League
Gudja vs Melita
1:2
Mar 15, 2015 Challenge League
Melita vs Gudja
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gudja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Melita Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassar B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alba M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gudja 36 / 100
Melita 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gudja Melita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gudja found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Melita let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Melita registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gudja VS Melita
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gudja

(Home)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
13 Sept
Gudja
0 : 3
Melita
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
12 Apr
Mgarr
0 : 2
Gudja
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
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Melita

(Away)
19 Sept
Melita
1 : 2
Mgarr
13 Sept
Gudja
0 : 3
Melita
03 May
Melita
0 : 3
Birzebbuga
25 Apr
Melita
3 : 1
Xewkija
19 Apr
Balzan FC
2 : 0
Melita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tarxien 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Victoria Hotspurs 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Fgura 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
4 Vittoriosa 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
5 Swieqi 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
6 Sirens 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Melita 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 Naxxar Lions 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
9 Pieta 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
10 Mgarr 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Santa Lucia 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Attard 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
13 St. Andrews 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
14 Zurrieq 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
15 Gudja 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Zebbug 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League (Relegation Group)