Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gudja vs Senglea

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2024/2025 Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cassar Jeffries R.
26'
Fenech T.
31' Event
Diego

AI Match Summary

Gudja in this Challenge League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gudja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Gudja
15%
Draws
12%
Senglea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gudja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Senglea haven't matched Gudja's recent run of results.
  • 73% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Challenge League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gudja Clean Sheet 20%
Senglea Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gudja Senglea
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.33 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Challenge League
Senglea vs Gudja
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Challenge League
Gudja vs Senglea
4:1
Apr 11, 2021 Premier League
Gudja vs Senglea
0:0
Dec 9, 2020 Premier League
Senglea vs Gudja
0:2
Sep 4, 2020 Club Friendly
Senglea vs Gudja
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gudja Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shola H. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Senglea Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassar Jeffries R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gudja 31 / 100
Senglea 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gudja Senglea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gudja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senglea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Gudja found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Senglea has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gudja VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gudja

(Home)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
13 Sept
Gudja
0 : 3
Melita
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
12 Apr
Mgarr
0 : 2
Gudja
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
Page 1 of 8

Senglea

(Away)
12 Apr
Sirens
2 : 1
Senglea
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
30 Mar
Senglea
1 : 2
Zebbug
12 Mar
Valletta
1 : 0
Senglea
09 Mar
Fgura
2 : 0
Senglea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valletta 15 12 2 1 29:4 38
2 Tarxien 15 9 2 4 22:16 29
3 Marsa 15 8 4 3 25:13 28
4 Swieqi 15 8 4 3 23:18 28
5 Pieta 15 8 2 5 21:19 26
6 Santa Lucia 15 8 1 6 24:25 25
7 Mgarr 15 5 7 3 24:19 22
8 Zurrieq 15 6 4 5 18:17 22
9 Fgura 15 6 3 6 17:14 21
10 Gudja 15 6 3 6 21:22 21
11 Zebbug 15 3 8 4 22:20 17
12 Sirens 15 4 5 6 25:26 17
13 Lija 15 3 3 9 16:28 12
14 St. Andrews 15 2 4 9 11:23 10
15 Senglea 15 2 3 10 13:27 9
16 Mtarfa 15 2 1 12 10:30 7
Promotion - Challenge League 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)