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Guediawaye vs Ouakam

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Guediawaye Logo

Guediawaye

1 - 1
FT
Ouakam Logo

Ouakam

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Guediawaye
30%
Draws
47%
Ouakam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ouakam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ouakam have won more games recently than Guediawaye.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Guediawaye Clean Sheet 20%
Ouakam Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guediawaye Ouakam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 18
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.97 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Ouakam
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs Guediawaye
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs Guediawaye
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Ouakam
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Ouakam
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guediawaye 32 / 100
Ouakam 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guediawaye Ouakam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouakam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Guediawaye found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Ouakam let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Guediawaye has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guediawaye VS Ouakam
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guediawaye

(Home)
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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Ouakam

(Away)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Ouakam
2 : 3
Generation Foot
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)