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Guelson vs Luanda City

Angola Angola

Girabola 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2025/2026 game between Guelson and Luanda City finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luanda City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Guelson
15%
Draws
12%
Luanda City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guelson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luanda City come out ahead of Guelson on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Girabola 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Guelson Clean Sheet 18%
Luanda City Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guelson Luanda City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.8 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Girabola
Guelson vs Luanda City
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Girabola
Luanda City vs Guelson
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guelson 32 / 100
Luanda City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guelson Luanda City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luanda City let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Luanda City registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guelson's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guelson VS Luanda City
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guelson

(Home)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
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Luanda City

(Away)
24 May
Sao Salvador
1 : 0
Luanda City
20 May
Luanda City
0 : 1
Primeiro de Agosto
17 May
Wiliete
1 : 0
Luanda City
10 May
Luanda City
0 : 2
Bravos do Maquis
06 May
Sagrada
0 : 0
Luanda City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 22 6 2 63:15 72
2 Wiliete 30 18 8 4 49:29 62
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 15 12 3 47:22 57
4 Desportivo Huila 30 12 10 8 35:26 46
5 Kabuscorp 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Bravos do Maquis 30 12 6 12 33:30 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:28 40
8 CD Lunda Sul 30 10 10 10 27:28 40
9 Primeiro de Maio 30 10 7 13 29:33 37
10 Sagrada 30 8 11 11 33:40 35
11 Sao Salvador 30 9 8 13 27:33 35
12 Academica 30 8 11 11 25:30 35
13 C.R.D. Libolo 30 9 7 14 26:37 34
14 Luanda City 30 9 6 15 21:45 33
15 Redonda 30 5 6 19 15:47 21
16 Guelson 30 6 3 21 24:50 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)