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Guelson vs Luanda City

Angola Angola

Girabola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Girabola game between Guelson and Luanda City finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luanda City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guelson
40%
Draws
29%
Luanda City
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luanda City come out ahead of Guelson on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Girabola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Guelson Clean Sheet 18%
Luanda City Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guelson Luanda City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Girabola
Guelson vs Luanda City
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Girabola
Luanda City vs Guelson
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guelson 32 / 100
Luanda City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guelson Luanda City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luanda City let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Luanda City registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guelson's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guelson VS Luanda City
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guelson

(Home)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
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Luanda City

(Away)
24 May
Sao Salvador
1 : 0
Luanda City
20 May
Luanda City
0 : 1
Primeiro de Agosto
17 May
Wiliete
1 : 0
Luanda City
10 May
Luanda City
0 : 2
Bravos do Maquis
06 May
Sagrada
0 : 0
Luanda City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petro Atletico30226263:1572
2Wiliete30188449:2962
3Primeiro de Agosto301512347:2257
4Desportivo Huila301210835:2646
5Kabuscorp301012826:2242
6Bravos do Maquis301261233:3042
7Interclube30913835:2840
8CD Lunda Sul3010101027:2840
9Primeiro de Maio301071329:3337
10Sagrada308111133:4035
11Sao Salvador30981327:3335
12Academica308111125:3035
13C.R.D. Libolo30971426:3734
14Luanda City30961521:4533
15Redonda30561915:4721
16Guelson30632124:5021
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)