Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Guerreros de Autlan

0 - 1

Alacranes de Durango

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Torres A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alacranes de Durango in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alacranes de Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Guerreros de Autlan

39%

Draws

30%

Alacranes de Durango

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Alacranes de Durango have won more games recently than Guerreros de Autlan.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Guerreros de Autlan Clean Sheet 10%

Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guerreros de Autlan	Alacranes de Durango
Matches Played	26	32
Wins	8	22
Draws	5	6
Losses	13	4
Goals Scored	1	2.88
Goals Conceded	1.57	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.57	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Guerreros de Autlan vs Alacranes de Durango

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Aug 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Alacranes de Durango vs Guerreros de Autlan

Possession: 53% - 60% Cards: 0 - 3

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guerreros de Autlan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Alacranes de Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guerreros de Autlan 30 / 100

Alacranes de Durango 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guerreros de Autlan Alacranes de Durango

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guerreros de Autlan scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Alacranes de Durango conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Guerreros de Autlan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guerreros de Autlan VS Alacranes de Durango

1 Goals Scored 2.88

1.57 Goals Conceded 0.63

86% Over 1.5 88%

43% Over 2.5 88%

14% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17