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Stadium Background

Guidonia 1937 vs Perugia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Citta dell Aria, Guidonia Montecelio
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guidonia 1937 host Perugia in the Serie C - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Perugia have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Guidonia 1937 have conceded 1.19 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Guidonia 1937 have won 0 to Perugia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 4, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.88) point toward Perugia. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Guidonia 1937
20%
Draws
42%
Perugia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perugia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Guidonia 1937 haven't matched Perugia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guidonia 1937 Clean Sheet 20%
Perugia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guidonia 1937 Perugia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Guidonia 1937 vs Perugia
1:2
Aug 22, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Guidonia 1937
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guidonia 1937 32 / 100
Perugia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guidonia 1937 Perugia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perugia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Guidonia 1937 scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Guidonia 1937 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guidonia 1937 VS Perugia
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guidonia 1937

(Home)
17 Oct
Guidonia 1937
3 : 2
Forli FC
12 Oct
Pescara
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
04 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pineto
27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

Perugia

(Away)
18 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 5
Perugia
11 Oct
Perugia
0 : 2
Vado
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Pineto 10 2 5 3 8:11 11
16 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
17 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)