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Guijuelo vs Colegios Diocesanos Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Gomez Gonzalez R.
39' Event
Martin A.
50' Event
Fassani G.

AI Match Summary

Guijuelo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guijuelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Guijuelo
15%
Draws
21%
Colegios Diocesanos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guijuelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guijuelo lately — more wins on the board than Colegios Diocesanos.
  • Win probability leans Guijuelo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guijuelo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Guijuelo Clean Sheet 20%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guijuelo Colegios Diocesanos
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.61 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Colegios Diocesanos
4:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Guijuelo
0:1
Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Colegios Diocesanos
2:1
Oct 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Guijuelo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guijuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez Gonzalez R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Colegios Diocesanos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guijuelo 67 / 100
Colegios Diocesanos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guijuelo Colegios Diocesanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guijuelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guijuelo's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Colegios Diocesanos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Colegios Diocesanos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guijuelo VS Colegios Diocesanos
1.38 Goals Scored 0.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.83
100% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guijuelo

(Home)
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Bembibre
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3
Guijuelo
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0
Guijuelo
22 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca B
4 : 1
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 7

Colegios Diocesanos

(Away)
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
10 May
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 2
Palencia CA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)