Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guijuelo vs La Virgen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guijuelo host La Virgen in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. La Virgen have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Guijuelo have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.49. Head-to-head, Guijuelo have won 3 to La Virgen's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.38) point toward Guijuelo. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Guijuelo
15%
Draws
51%
La Virgen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Guijuelo have won more games recently than La Virgen.
  • Win probability leans Guijuelo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Guijuelo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Guijuelo Clean Sheet 17%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guijuelo La Virgen
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.49 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs La Virgen
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Guijuelo
2:2
Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs La Virgen
3:0
Oct 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Guijuelo
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guijuelo 41 / 100
La Virgen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guijuelo La Virgen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guijuelo scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

La Virgen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Guijuelo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guijuelo VS La Virgen
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guijuelo

(Home)
10 Oct
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Bembibre
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3
Guijuelo
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 7

La Virgen

(Away)
10 Oct
La Virgen
1 : 0
Mansilles
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)