Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guijuelo vs Leonesa B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Martin A.
45' Event
Martin A.
47' Event
Ruiz J.

AI Match Summary

Guijuelo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guijuelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Guijuelo
20%
Draws
51%
Leonesa B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guijuelo lately — more wins on the board than Leonesa B.
  • Leonesa B are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guijuelo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Guijuelo Clean Sheet 23%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guijuelo Leonesa B
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Leonesa B
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Guijuelo
1:2
Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Guijuelo
1:2
Sep 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Leonesa B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guijuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Leonesa B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guijuelo 29 / 100
Leonesa B 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guijuelo Leonesa B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guijuelo scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Leonesa B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guijuelo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guijuelo VS Leonesa B
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.14
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guijuelo

(Home)
22 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca B
4 : 1
Guijuelo
19 Aug
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Ribert
15 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 1
Guijuelo
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0
Guijuelo
14 Jun
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Tamaraceite
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Leonesa B

(Away)
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Leonesa B
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 2
Leonesa B
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)