Sport Picks

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Guijuelo vs Palencia CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Sun, Jun 7, 2026
1 - 2
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Rivas E.
115' Event
Santana A.
120' Event
Garcia A.

AI Match Summary

Palencia CF in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Guijuelo
15%
Draws
59%
Palencia CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palencia CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guijuelo lately — more wins on the board than Palencia CF.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Guijuelo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palencia CF, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Guijuelo Clean Sheet 16%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guijuelo Palencia CF
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 20 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.53
Goals Conceded 1 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Palencia CF
1:2
May 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Guijuelo
2:3
Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Guijuelo
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Palencia CF
2:1
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Guijuelo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guijuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Palencia CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guijuelo 36 / 100
Palencia CF 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guijuelo Palencia CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palencia CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guijuelo's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Palencia CF let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Guijuelo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guijuelo VS Palencia CF
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guijuelo

(Home)
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3
Guijuelo
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0
Guijuelo
22 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca B
4 : 1
Guijuelo
19 Aug
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Ribert
Page 1 of 8

Palencia CF

(Away)
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Palencia CF
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Palencia CF
08 Aug
Gijon B
1 : 1
Palencia CF
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Guijuelo 3
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Palencia CA 1
Palencia CF 2
Final
Guijuelo 4
Palencia CF 4