Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Mehasseb H.
45'
45'
Smallwood J.
81'
81'
Matthews I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Guilsfield at 1.57 per game, Bala at 1.36.
- Win probability leans Guilsfield's way, sitting at 40%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Bala, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Bala have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 13%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guilsfield | Bala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2025 League Cup
Guilsfield vs Bala
2:3
Sep 19, 2023 League Cup
Guilsfield vs Bala
1:0
Aug 28, 2018 League Cup
Bala vs Guilsfield
3:0
Feb 25, 2017 FAW Welsh Cup
Guilsfield vs Bala
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guilsfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Smallwood J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Matthews I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Bala Compare
Top Goalscorer Mehasseb H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Owen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guilsfield 39 / 100
Bala 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guilsfield Bala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guilsfield's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Bala conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Guilsfield has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guilsfield VS Bala
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guilsfield
(Home) 12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1 Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1 Guilsfield
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2 Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1 Gresford
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Penrhyncoch
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2 Ruthin Town
08 Aug
Guilsfield
3 : 2 Mold Alexandra
18 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Gresford
Page 1 of 3
Bala
(Away) 15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2 Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1 Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3 Bala
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2 Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3 Bala
31 Jul
Bangor 1876
1 : 2 Bala
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2
