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Guilsfield vs Conwy Borough

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Whelan C.
68' Event
Jones R.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Blenkinsop S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Guilsfield
15%
Draws
26%
Conwy Borough
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guilsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guilsfield lately — more wins on the board than Conwy Borough.
  • Guilsfield are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guilsfield have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 15%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guilsfield Conwy Borough
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.65 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Guilsfield
0:3
Jan 28, 2023 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Conwy Borough
2:2
Feb 26, 2022 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Guilsfield
1:3
Sep 11, 2021 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Conwy Borough
2:1
Mar 7, 2020 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Guilsfield
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guilsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Blenkinsop S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matthews I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Conwy Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Whelan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guilsfield 84 / 100
Conwy Borough 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guilsfield Conwy Borough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conwy Borough has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Guilsfield found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Guilsfield went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guilsfield VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guilsfield

(Home)
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
Page 1 of 7

Conwy Borough

(Away)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)