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Guilsfield vs Porthmadog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Haycock J.
68' Event
Ellis O.
82' Event
John G.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Guilsfield and Porthmadog finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Guilsfield
30%
Draws
41%
Porthmadog
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Guilsfield's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Porthmadog have produced (1.43).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guilsfield here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 18%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guilsfield Porthmadog
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Porthmadog
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Porthmadog
4:0
Aug 19, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Guilsfield
0:1
Dec 6, 2022 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Porthmadog
4:0
Nov 26, 2022 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Guilsfield
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guilsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Haycock J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parrish S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Porthmadog Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader John G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guilsfield 31 / 100
Porthmadog 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guilsfield Porthmadog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Guilsfield's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Porthmadog let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Guilsfield remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guilsfield VS Porthmadog
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guilsfield

(Home)
31 Oct
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Porthmadog
24 Oct
Caersws FC
2 : 2
Guilsfield
17 Oct
Coedpoeth
4 : 3
Guilsfield
10 Oct
Guilsfield
0 : 2
Denbigh
03 Oct
Guilsfield
1 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
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Porthmadog

(Away)
31 Oct
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Porthmadog
24 Oct
Porthmadog
0 : 1
Brickfield Rangers
16 Oct
Connahs Q.
4 : 0
Porthmadog
10 Oct
Gresford
0 : 1
Porthmadog
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 13 9 3 1 24:5 30
3 Mold Alexandra 13 8 3 2 32:16 27
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 14 7 3 4 27:24 24
6 Caersws FC 13 6 5 2 28:18 23
7 Bangor 1876 13 6 3 4 33:19 21
8 Guilsfield 14 4 6 4 20:19 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Denbigh 13 4 2 7 26:28 14
11 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
12 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
13 Ruthin Town 13 3 3 7 12:24 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 12 2 1 9 7:33 7
16 Penrhyncoch 13 0 1 12 6:40 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)