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Guinea Bissau vs Djibouti

World World

World Championship 2026 Estádio 24 de Setembro
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Simao I.
Assist: Balde M.
62'
Sub
Monteiro T. In: Beto
Out: Monteiro T.
67'
Sub
Wais M. In: Farah A.
Out: Wais M.

AI Match Summary

Guinea Bissau in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guinea Bissau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guinea Bissau
6%
Draws
4%
Djibouti
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guinea Bissau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Guinea Bissau at 0.5 per game, Djibouti at 0.38.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guinea Bissau taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 68%
Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea Bissau Djibouti
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2025 World Championship
Guinea Bissau vs Djibouti
2:0
Nov 20, 2023 World Championship
Djibouti vs Guinea Bissau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea Bissau Compare

Top Goalscorer Simao I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cande F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Djibouti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea Bissau 95 / 100
Djibouti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea Bissau Djibouti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Djibouti conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Guinea Bissau's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Djibouti has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guinea Bissau VS Djibouti
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 4.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt1082020:226
2Burkina Faso1063123:821
3Sierra Leone1043312:1015
4Guinea Bissau102448:1010
5Ethiopia102359:149
6Djibouti100195:331
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Senegal1073022:324
2D.R. Congo1071215:622
3Sudan103438:613
4Togo101545:108
5Mauritania101454:137
6South Sudan100553:195
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Africa1053215:918
2Nigeria1045115:817
3Benin1052312:1117
4Lesotho103349:1212
5Rwanda103255:911
6Zimbabwe100555:125
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cape Verde1072116:823
2Cameroon1054117:519
3Libya1044212:1016
4Angola102629:812
5Mauritius101367:176
6Eswatini100376:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco880022:224
2Niger850311:1015
3Tanzania83146:710
4Zambia830510:109
5Congo80174:241
6Eritrea00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ivory Coast1082025:026
2Gabon1081122:925
3Gambia1041527:1813
4Kenya1033418:1412
5Burundi1031613:1310
6Seychelles1000102:530
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria1081124:825
2Uganda1060414:918
3Mozambique1060414:1718
4Guinea1043311:815
5Botswana1031612:1610
6Somalia100193:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tunisia1091022:028
2Namibia1043313:1015
3Liberia1043313:1115
4Malawi1041511:1013
5Equatorial Guinea103258:1511
6Sao Tome and Principe101095:263
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ghana1081123:625
2Madagascar1061317:1219
3Mali1053217:618
4Comoros1050512:1315
5Central Africa1022611:248
6Chad100195:241