Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guinea Bissau vs Gabon

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Aboghe S.
Assist: Kanga G.
57'
Camara S.
90' Event
Meyo Ngoua B.

AI Match Summary

Gabon in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gabon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Guinea Bissau
15%
Draws
36%
Gabon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guinea Bissau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gabon have won more games recently than Guinea Bissau.
  • Guinea Bissau are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gabon here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 16%
Gabon Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea Bissau Gabon
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Friendly International
Guinea Bissau vs Gabon
0:2
Nov 17, 2022 Friendly International
Guinea Bissau vs Gabon
1:3
Jan 14, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon vs Guinea Bissau
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea Bissau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Gabon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aboghe S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meyo Ngoua B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea Bissau 36 / 100
Gabon 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea Bissau Gabon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea Bissau found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Gabon let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Gabon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guinea Bissau VS Gabon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea Bissau

(Home)
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0
Guinea Bissau
12 Oct
Egypt
1 : 0
Guinea Bissau
08 Oct
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Guinea Bissau
08 Sept
Guinea Bissau
2 : 0
Djibouti
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Gabon

(Away)
30 Mar
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 3
Gabon
27 Mar
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Gabon
31 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Ivory Coast
28 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Mozambique
24 Dec
Cameroon
1 : 0
Gabon
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