Sport Picks
Guinea Bissau vs Sao Tome and Principe
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations 2023 Stade Adrar, Agadir 
Match Events
21'
21'
Viegas E.
40'
40'
Semedo A.
Assist: Camara M.
46'
46'
Sub
Rocha V. In: Selemane L.
Out: Rocha V.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-1, with Guinea Bissau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guinea Bissau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sao Tome and Principe haven't matched Guinea Bissau's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Guinea Bissau's way, sitting at 90%.
- Guinea Bissau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Guinea Bissau, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Guinea Bissau here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guinea Bissau | Sao Tome and Principe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Sao Tome and Principe vs Guinea Bissau
0:1
Jun 9, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea Bissau vs Sao Tome and Principe
5:1
Sep 10, 2019 World Championship
Guinea Bissau vs Sao Tome and Principe
2:1
Sep 4, 2019 World Championship
Sao Tome and Principe vs Guinea Bissau
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guinea Bissau Compare
Top Goalscorer Gano Z.
2 Goals Assists Leader Semedo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Sao Tome and Principe Compare
Top Goalscorer Viegas E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guinea Bissau 85 / 100
Sao Tome and Principe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guinea Bissau Sao Tome and Principe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Tome and Principe has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Guinea Bissau's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Difficult form: Sao Tome and Principe registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guinea Bissau VS Sao Tome and Principe
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guinea Bissau
(Home) 31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1 Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0 Guinea Bissau
12 Oct
Egypt
1 : 0 Guinea Bissau
08 Oct
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Guinea Bissau
08 Sept
Guinea Bissau
2 : 0 Djibouti
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Guinea Bissau
2 : 0 Djibouti
04 Sept
Guinea Bissau
1 : 1 Sierra Leone
09 Jun
Guinea Bissau
0 : 2 Gabon
06 Jun
Guinea Bissau
0 : 1 Burundi
24 Mar
Guinea Bissau
1 : 2 Burkina Faso
Page 1 of 3
Sao Tome and Principe
(Away) 31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3 Ethiopia
13 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
1 : 0 Malawi
10 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 6 Tunisia
09 Sept
Namibia
3 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
09 Sept
Namibia
3 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
24 Mar
Liberia
2 : 1 Sao Tome and Principe
21 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
2 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
06 Jun
Malawi
3 : 1 Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Guinea Bissau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 5 |
| 4 | Sao Tome and Principe | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:26 | 1 |
| 5 | Mauritius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Togo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | Eswatini | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 3 | Burundi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Kenya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Guinea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Malawi | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ghana | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Angola | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Central Africa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Uganda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Niger | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mali | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Gambia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Congo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zambia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Comoros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Lesotho | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D.R. Congo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Mauritania | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Gabon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Sudan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | 6 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tunisia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Botswana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Libya | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Liberia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Mozambique | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 3 | Benin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 4 | Rwanda | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
