Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guinea U17 vs Gambia U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Sat, Jun 28, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2015. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Guinea U17 at 1.27 goals for, 1.07 against; Gambia U17 at 1.5 for, 1.46 against. Head-to-head, Guinea U17 have won 0 to Gambia U17's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2014, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.25, favoring Guinea U17. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Guinea U17
15%
Draws
21%
Gambia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guinea U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Guinea U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 21% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Guinea U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guinea U17 Clean Sheet 19%
Gambia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea U17 Gambia U17
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Guinea U17 vs Gambia U17
0:0
Jun 14, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Gambia U17 vs Guinea U17
0:0
Mar 19, 2009 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Gambia U17 vs Guinea U17
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea U17 36 / 100
Gambia U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea U17 Gambia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea U17 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Gambia U17 let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Guinea U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Gambia U17 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guinea U17 VS Gambia U17
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea U17

(Home)
28 Apr
Guinea U17
0 : 1
Cameroon U17
24 Apr
Nigeria U17
0 : 1
Guinea U17
21 Apr
Guinea U17
1 : 0
Morocco U17
18 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 2
Guinea U17
15 Apr
Guinea U17
0 : 2
Cameroon U17
Page 1 of 6

Gambia U17

(Away)
12 Apr
Uganda U17
2 : 1
Gambia U17
07 Apr
Gambia U17
1 : 2
Tunisia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 0
Gambia U17
26 Oct
Ghana U17
3 : 0
Gambia U17
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Botswana U17 -
Rwanda U17 -
TBD -
Seychelles U17 1
Uganda U17 5
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Burundi U17 -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Guinea U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
Morocco U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
Guinea-Bissau U17 -
Togo U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
Central Africa U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
South Sudan U17 -
Kenya U17 -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Namibia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 -
Mauritania U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania U17 -
Congo U17 -
TBD -
Sudan U17 3
Egypt U17 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Zambia U17 6
Botswana U17 0
Rwanda U17 2
Uganda U17 7
Gabon U17 3
Ethiopia U17 0
D.R. Congo U17 0
Nigeria U17 5
Guinea U17 3
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Togo U17 1
Cameroon U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 0
South Sudan U17 -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 3
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 7
Benin U17 1
Mali U17 0
Sierra Leone U17 -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 4
Tanzania U17 0
Congo U17 1
Egypt U17 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Zambia U17 4
Uganda U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Nigeria U17 6
Guinea U17 4
Togo U17 0
Cameroon U17 4
Ghana U17 6
Angola U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 4
Mali U17 5
Tunisia U17 1
South Africa U17 4
Egypt U17 3
TBD -
TBD -