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Guinea U17 vs Morocco U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019
Guinea U17 Logo

Guinea U17

1 - 0
FT
Morocco U17 Logo

Morocco U17

Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Toure M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Guinea U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Guinea U17
15%
Draws
42%
Morocco U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guinea U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Guinea U17 haven't matched Morocco U17's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Morocco U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guinea U17, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guinea U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Guinea U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea U17 Morocco U17
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Guinea U17 vs Morocco U17
1:0
Aug 21, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs Guinea U17
1:2
Aug 7, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Guinea U17 vs Morocco U17
1:1
Aug 3, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Morocco U17 vs Guinea U17
1:2
Jul 20, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Guinea U17 vs Morocco U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Morocco U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea U17 31 / 100
Morocco U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea U17 Morocco U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guinea U17 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Morocco U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Guinea U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Morocco U17
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea U17

(Home)
28 Apr
Guinea U17
0 : 1
Cameroon U17
24 Apr
Nigeria U17
0 : 1
Guinea U17
21 Apr
Guinea U17
1 : 0
Morocco U17
18 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 2
Guinea U17
15 Apr
Guinea U17
0 : 2
Cameroon U17
Page 1 of 6

Morocco U17

(Away)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria U17 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Angola U17 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Uganda U17 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 6:12 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon U17 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Guinea U17 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Senegal U17 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Morocco U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)