Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Kouyate K.
45'
45'
Wilquine Bidane E.
53'
53'
Bangoura M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guinea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Guinea Bissau haven't matched Guinea's recent run of results.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Guinea taking it.
- Guinea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Guinea, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guinea Clean Sheet 20%
Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guinea | Guinea Bissau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 28, 2024 African Nations Championship
Guinea Bissau vs Guinea
1:2
Dec 20, 2024 African Nations Championship
Guinea vs Guinea Bissau
4:1
Oct 13, 2023 Friendly International
Guinea vs Guinea Bissau
1:0
Nov 12, 2021 World Championship
Guinea vs Guinea Bissau
0:0
Sep 1, 2021 World Championship
Guinea Bissau vs Guinea
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guinea Compare
Top Goalscorer Bangoura M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kouyate K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Guinea Bissau Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilquine Bidane E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guinea 40 / 100
Guinea Bissau 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guinea Guinea Bissau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guinea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guinea scored in 63% of their last 24 games.
Guinea Bissau has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Guinea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guinea VS Guinea Bissau
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guinea
(Home) 04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0 Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1 Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2 Togo
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1 Niger
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0 Liberia
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31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1 Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2 Togo
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1 Niger
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0 Liberia
14 Oct
Guinea
2 : 2 Botswana
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Guinea Bissau
(Away) 25 Sept
Tanzania
0 : 2 Guinea Bissau
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1 Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0 Guinea Bissau
12 Oct
Egypt
1 : 0 Guinea Bissau
08 Oct
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Guinea Bissau
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25 Sept
Tanzania
0 : 2 Guinea Bissau
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1 Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0 Guinea Bissau
12 Oct
Egypt
1 : 0 Guinea Bissau
08 Oct
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Guinea Bissau
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
