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Guinea vs Togo

World World

Friendly International 2025
Sat, Nov 15, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guinea host Togo in the Friendly International 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Guinea have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.08 conceded recently, against Togo's 1 scored and 1.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Guinea slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (0.94 - 0.88) back Guinea to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Guinea
35%
Draws
42%
Togo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Togo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Togo haven't matched Guinea's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Togo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Guinea Clean Sheet 20%
Togo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea Togo
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.19 1
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International
Guinea vs Togo
2:2
Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International
Guinea vs Togo
0:0
Jun 5, 2021 Friendly International
Togo vs Guinea
2:0
Nov 15, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Togo vs Guinea
1:4
Sep 5, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea vs Togo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea 28 / 100
Togo 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea Togo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Togo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Togo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Guinea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guinea VS Togo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea

(Home)
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0
Liberia
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Togo

(Away)
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1
Togo
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0
Togo
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