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Guinea W vs Gambia W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Stadium of Ksar, Nouakchott
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Match Events

11' Event
Nabe F. D.
38' Event
Sidibe K.
45'

AI Match Summary

Guinea W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guinea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Guinea W
15%
Draws
42%
Gambia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gambia W at 1.24 per game, Guinea W at 1.21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Guinea W Clean Sheet 10%
Gambia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea W Gambia W
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 5 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Guinea W vs Gambia W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabe F. D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sidibe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gambia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Darboe M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jammeh F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea W 29 / 100
Gambia W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea W Gambia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guinea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 21 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Guinea W scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Away concern: Gambia W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guinea W VS Gambia W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea W

(Home)
10 Oct
Cameroon W
:
Guinea W
07 Oct
Guinea W
:
Cameroon W
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Senegal W
2 : 1
Guinea W
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Gambia W

(Away)
28 Oct
Gambia W
0 : 1
Kenya W
24 Oct
Kenya W
3 : 1
Gambia W
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Gambia W
0 : 6
Senegal W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
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