Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024

Guinea W

0 - 3

Mali W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Mali W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Guinea W

40%

Draws

29%

Mali W

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mali W come out ahead of Guinea W on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Mali W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Mali W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Guinea W Clean Sheet 10%

Mali W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guinea W	Mali W
Matches Played	28	37
Wins	5	17
Draws	5	9
Losses	18	11
Goals Scored	2	1.63
Goals Conceded	2.67	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.67	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women

Guinea W vs Mali W

0:3

Nov 30, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women

Mali W vs Guinea W

7:2

Oct 25, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women

Guinea W vs Mali W

0:2

Oct 20, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women

Mali W vs Guinea W

2:2

Jun 5, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations Women

Mali W vs Guinea W

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea W 30 / 100

Mali W 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guinea W Mali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Guinea W found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Mali W conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Guinea W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guinea W VS Mali W

2 Goals Scored 1.63

2.67 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 63%

100% Over 2.5 25%

67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea W

(Home)

26 May

Guinea W

4 : 3

Gambia W

24 May

Sierra Leone W

3 : 1

Guinea W

22 May

Senegal W

2 : 1

Guinea W

26 Feb

Cape Verde W

4 : 1

Guinea W

21 Feb

Guinea W

2 : 2

Cape Verde W

Page 1 of 6

Mali W

(Away)

20 Jul

Mali W

0 : 1

Ivory Coast W

07 Jun

Burkina Faso W

2 : 2

Mali W

04 Jun

Burkina Faso W

0 : 0

Mali W

17 Apr

Morocco W

1 : 1

Mali W

28 Oct

Mali W

2 : 4

Cape Verde W

Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Semi-finals

Senegal W3

Mozambique W2

Egypt W8

South Sudan W0

Central Africa W1

Mali W10

Guinea W11

Mauritius W0

Nigeria W-

Sao Tome and Principe W-

Cape Verde W6

Liberia W2

Uganda W2

Algeria W3

Burundi W3

Ethiopia W2

Equatorial Guinea W-

Libya W-

D.R. Congo W4

Benin W2

Ivory Coast W2

Tanzania W3

Djibouti W0

Togo W13

Rwanda W0

Ghana W12

Gambia W2

Namibia W5

Cameroon W1

Kenya W2

Gabon W1

Botswana W10

Tunisia W12

Niger W1

Guinea Bissau W0

Congo W3

Angola W-

Sudan W-

TBD-

Zambia W-

Eswatini W2

Burkina Faso W6

TBD-

South Africa W-

TBD-

Final

Senegal W4

Egypt W0

Mali W10

Guinea W2

Nigeria W7

Cape Verde W1

Algeria W6

Burundi W1

Equatorial Guinea W2

D.R. Congo W3

Tanzania W3

Togo W2

Ghana W3

Namibia W2

Kenya W1

Botswana W2

Tunisia W6

Congo W3

Angola W0

Zambia W12

Burkina Faso W1

South Africa W3

TBD-