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Guingamp II vs Saint-Malo Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2 - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gerbeaud R.
24' Event
Florival N.
63' Event
Hungbo T.

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo in this National 2 - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Malo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Guingamp II
20%
Draws
57%
Saint-Malo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint-Malo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint-Malo lately — more wins on the board than Guingamp II.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Saint-Malo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Saint-Malo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guingamp II Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp II Saint-Malo
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 8 17
Draws 2 11
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Guingamp II vs Saint-Malo
2:3
Aug 26, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Saint-Malo vs Guingamp II
1:0
Mar 25, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Guingamp II vs Saint-Malo
0:1
Oct 22, 2022 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Guingamp II
2:1
Feb 12, 2022 National 1 - Group A
Guingamp II vs Saint-Malo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp II Compare

Top Goalscorer Florival N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerbeaud R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hungbo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp II 24 / 100
Saint-Malo 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp II Saint-Malo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp II scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Saint-Malo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Guingamp II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saint-Malo
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp II

(Home)
09 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 1
Guingamp II
18 May
Guingamp II
2 : 3
Saint-Malo
11 May
Racing Club de France
2 : 0
Guingamp II
27 Apr
Guingamp II
2 : 2
AF Virois
20 Apr
Beauvais
0 : 3
Guingamp II
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Saint-Malo

(Away)
03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4
Saint-Malo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boulogne 26 15 6 5 48:29 51
2 Saint-Malo 26 12 8 6 38:23 44
3 Granville 26 12 7 7 35:31 43
4 Chambly 26 12 7 7 39:25 38
5 Dinan 26 11 5 10 41:44 38
6 Stade Briochin 26 10 7 9 31:26 37
7 Beauvais 26 10 7 9 38:31 37
8 Aubervilliers 26 11 3 12 30:39 36
9 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 26 8 10 8 29:31 34
10 Racing Club de France 26 10 4 12 30:35 34
11 Lorient II 26 8 8 10 36:39 32
12 Borgo 26 9 3 14 37:49 30
13 AF Virois 26 8 3 15 35:43 27
14 Guingamp II 26 6 2 18 28:50 20
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