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Stadium Background

Guingamp vs Grenoble

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Vidal C.
Assist: Mouazan B.
18'
Xantippe M.
33'
Paquiez G.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Guingamp and Grenoble finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Guingamp
28%
Draws
50%
Grenoble
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Grenoble

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guingamp come out ahead of Grenoble on wins alone.
  • Grenoble are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 14%
Grenoble Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Grenoble
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Grenoble
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Guingamp
0:0
Feb 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Guingamp
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Grenoble
3:0
Mar 30, 2024 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Guingamp
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafouta L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Grenoble Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidal C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 23 / 100
Grenoble 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Grenoble

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Grenoble conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Grenoble registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Grenoble
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
09 May
Clermont
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 May
Guingamp
0 : 1
Bastia
Page 1 of 6

Grenoble

(Away)
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3
Troyes
18 Jul
Sochaux
1 : 0
Grenoble
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2
Villefranche
11 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
09 May
Grenoble
1 : 0
Troyes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)