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Guingamp vs Martigues - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 2024/2025 Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Guingamp Logo

Guingamp

2 - 1
FT
Martigues Logo

Martigues

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Labeau B.
Assist: Vallier L.
46'
Sub
Ipiele A. In: Amraoui A.
Out: Ipiele A.
47' Event
Ghrieb R.
Assist: Picard H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Guingamp and Martigues finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guingamp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guingamp
35%
Draws
25%
Martigues
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guingamp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Guingamp haven't matched Martigues's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Guingamp taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guingamp have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 18%
Martigues Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Martigues
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Martigues
2:1
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 2
Martigues vs Guingamp
0:1
May 18, 1996 Ligue 1
Martigues vs Guingamp
2:1
Jul 19, 1995 Ligue 1
Guingamp vs Martigues
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Labeau B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghrieb R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Martigues Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 58 / 100
Martigues 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Martigues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guingamp Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Martigues's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Guingamp has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1
Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2
Guingamp
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

Martigues

(Away)
26 Jul
Martigues
1 : 1
AC Ajaccio
10 May
Lorient
5 : 1
Martigues
02 May
Martigues
1 : 1
Paris FC
25 Apr
Guingamp
2 : 1
Martigues
18 Apr
Caen
0 : 3
Martigues
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorient 34 22 5 7 68:31 71
2 Paris FC 34 21 6 7 55:33 69
3 Metz 34 18 11 5 64:34 65
4 Dunkerque 34 17 5 12 47:40 56
5 Guingamp 34 17 4 13 57:45 55
6 Annecy 34 14 9 11 42:43 51
7 Laval 34 14 8 12 44:38 50
8 Bastia 34 11 15 8 43:37 48
9 Grenoble 34 13 7 14 43:44 46
10 Troyes 34 13 5 16 36:34 44
11 Amiens SC 34 13 4 17 38:50 43
12 AC Ajaccio 34 12 6 16 30:42 42
13 Pau 34 10 12 12 39:53 42
14 Rodez 34 9 12 13 56:54 39
15 Red Star 34 9 11 14 37:51 38
16 Clermont 34 7 12 15 30:46 33
17 Martigues 34 9 5 20 29:56 32
18 Caen 34 5 7 22 31:58 22
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - National 2025/2026 (Main)