Sport Picks

France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de Roudourou

Guingamp

1 - 0

Troyes

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Boura I.

32'

Gomis D.

46'

Sub

Boura I. In: Ouzenadji A.

Out: Boura I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guingamp in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guingamp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Guingamp

Draws

90%

Troyes

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Troyes lately — more wins on the board than Guingamp.
90% — that's where the model lands on Troyes taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Guingamp Clean Sheet 10%

Troyes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guingamp	Troyes
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	8	17
Draws	7	3
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	0.63	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 2

Guingamp vs Troyes

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Sep 20, 2025 Ligue 2

Troyes vs Guingamp

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

5:2

Mar 14, 2025 Ligue 2

Troyes vs Guingamp

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Aug 16, 2024 Ligue 2

Guingamp vs Troyes

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

4:0

Mar 2, 2024 Ligue 2

Guingamp vs Troyes

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Samoura A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Troyes Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 10 / 100

Troyes 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guingamp Troyes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Troyes let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Troyes lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Troyes

0.63 Goals Scored 2.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Troyes	34	20	7	7	60:33	67
2	Le Mans	34	16	14	4	50:31	62
3	St Etienne	34	18	6	10	59:38	60
4	Red Star	34	16	10	8	45:37	58
5	Rodez	34	15	13	6	45:39	58
6	Reims	34	14	14	6	53:35	56
7	Annecy	34	15	7	12	49:39	52
8	Montpellier	34	14	9	11	41:31	51
9	Pau	34	12	9	13	48:62	45
10	Dunkerque	34	11	10	13	53:45	43
11	Guingamp	34	10	10	14	42:49	40
12	Grenoble	34	8	15	11	33:39	39
13	Clermont	34	9	10	15	38:44	37
14	Nancy	34	9	10	15	35:52	37
15	Boulogne	34	9	9	16	34:49	36
16	Laval	34	6	14	14	30:48	32
17	Bastia	34	5	13	16	23:39	28
18	Amiens SC	34	6	6	22	37:65	24
19	AC Ajaccio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0