Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guingamp W vs Metz W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Centre Formation EAG 1, Pabu
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Domond C.
72' Event
Ribeyra A.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Guingamp W and Metz W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guingamp W
15%
Draws
85%
Metz W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Metz W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Metz W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 10%
Metz W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp W Metz W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.78 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Metz W
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Guingamp W
2:0
Feb 8, 2020 Premiere Ligue Women
Metz W vs Guingamp W
0:0
Aug 24, 2019 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Metz W
2:0
Jan 12, 2019 Premiere Ligue Women
Metz W vs Guingamp W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp W Compare

Top Goalscorer Domond C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.89

Metz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeyra A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp W 10 / 100
Metz W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp W Metz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Guingamp W scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Metz W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp W VS Metz W
0.57 Goals Scored 2.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 3
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 88%
43% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp W

(Home)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
Page 1 of 6

Metz W

(Away)
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Lens W
3 : 0
Metz W
22 Aug
Metz W
2 : 4
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)