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Guingamp W vs Rodez AF W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Centre Formation EAG 1, Pabu
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Theriez H.
38' Event
Devant C.
60' Event
Domond C.

AI Match Summary

Rodez AF W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodez AF W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guingamp W
20%
Draws
80%
Rodez AF W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodez AF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Rodez AF W have won more games recently than Guingamp W.
  • Win probability leans Rodez AF W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 13%
Rodez AF W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp W Rodez AF W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.77 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Rodez AF W
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Guingamp W
1:0
May 21, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Rodez AF W
2:1
Dec 10, 2022 Premiere Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Guingamp W
1:2
Feb 2, 2019 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Rodez AF W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp W Compare

Top Goalscorer Domond C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rodez AF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Theriez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Devant C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp W 27 / 100
Rodez AF W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp W Rodez AF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez AF W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Rodez AF W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Rodez AF W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp W VS Rodez AF W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp W

(Home)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
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Rodez AF W

(Away)
08 Aug
Toulouse W
5 : 0
Rodez AF W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
03 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Rodez AF W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)