Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guingamp W vs Saint-Malo W Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Centre Formation EAG 1, Pabu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guingamp W
15%
Draws
85%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint-Malo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint-Malo W have won more games recently than Guingamp W.
  • Saint-Malo W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Saint-Malo W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Saint-Malo W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Saint-Malo W vs Guingamp W
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Guingamp W
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Saint-Malo W
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Saint-Malo W
0:3
Aug 31, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Guingamp W vs Saint-Malo W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp W 12 / 100
Saint-Malo W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp W Saint-Malo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Saint-Malo W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Saint-Malo W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp W VS Saint-Malo W
0.67 Goals Scored 1
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 50%
83% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp W

(Home)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
Page 1 of 6

Saint-Malo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)