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Guiseley vs Cleethorpes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guiseley host Cleethorpes in the NPL Premier Division. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Guiseley at 1.88 goals for, 1.12 against; Cleethorpes at 1.66 for, 0.91 against. Past meetings favor Guiseley slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.38) back Guiseley to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Guiseley
20%
Draws
38%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guiseley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Guiseley have won more games recently than Cleethorpes.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Guiseley taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 17%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guiseley Cleethorpes
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 19 15
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.12 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Guiseley
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Cleethorpes
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Guiseley vs Cleethorpes
0:0
Oct 9, 2018 FA Cup
Guiseley vs Cleethorpes
2:1
Oct 6, 2018 FA Cup
Cleethorpes vs Guiseley
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guiseley 36 / 100
Cleethorpes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guiseley Cleethorpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guiseley found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guiseley stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Cleethorpes has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guiseley VS Cleethorpes
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guiseley

(Home)
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Guiseley
03 Oct
Guiseley
1 : 0
Bradford PA
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2
Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4
Guiseley
Page 1 of 7

Cleethorpes

(Away)
06 Oct
Cleethorpes
1 : 0
Hyde
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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