Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Mbeka L.
74'
74'
Yawson S.
85'
85'
Moonan B.
AI Match Summary
Lancaster in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lancaster.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guiseley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guiseley have won more games recently than Lancaster.
- Win probability leans Guiseley's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 20%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guiseley | Lancaster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Lancaster
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Lancaster
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Guiseley
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Lancaster
1:2
Oct 15, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Guiseley
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guiseley Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbeka L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Lancaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Yawson S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moonan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guiseley 85 / 100
Lancaster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guiseley Lancaster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guiseley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guiseley found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (32 games).
Lancaster let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Guiseley went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guiseley VS Lancaster
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guiseley
(Home) 03 Oct
Guiseley
1 : 0 Bradford PA
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0 Guiseley
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2 Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4 Guiseley
12 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 1 Quorn
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Guiseley
1 : 0 Bradford PA
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2 Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 1 Quorn
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1 Stockton
28 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 2 Lancaster
Page 1 of 4
Lancaster
(Away) 03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1 Lancaster
19 Sept
Bradford PA
1 : 0 Lancaster
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1 Lancaster
19 Sept
Bradford PA
1 : 0 Lancaster
08 Sept
Tadcaster Albion
0 : 2 Lancaster
28 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 2 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Workington | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 5 | Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 10 | Lancaster | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 12 | Hyde | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainsborough | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Whitby | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 16 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Quorn | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 19 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 20 | Stockton | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7:24 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 5 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
