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Guiseley vs Sutton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup Nethermoor Park, Guiseley
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Guiseley have averaged 2.29 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Sutton's 1.36 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Sutton slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2018, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.00) back Guiseley to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Guiseley
15%
Draws
41%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guiseley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Guiseley have won more games recently than Sutton.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Guiseley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sutton, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sutton here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 20%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guiseley Sutton
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 21 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.29 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2018 National League
Sutton vs Guiseley
4:0
Nov 25, 2017 National League
Guiseley vs Sutton
0:2
Feb 14, 2017 National League
Guiseley vs Sutton
2:1
Oct 1, 2016 National League
Sutton vs Guiseley
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guiseley 31 / 100
Sutton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guiseley Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guiseley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guiseley scored in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Guiseley remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sutton has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Guiseley VS Sutton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guiseley

(Home)
03 Nov
Guiseley
4 : 1
Leek Town
31 Oct
Redcar Athletic
2 : 2
Guiseley
24 Oct
Warrington Rylands
1 : 3
Guiseley
20 Oct
Guiseley
2 : 1
Cleethorpes
17 Oct
Leiston
0 : 3
Guiseley
Page 1 of 6

Sutton

(Away)
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0
Southampton U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3
Sutton
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0
Aldershot
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1
Sutton
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0
Truro
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

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